jeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 5 months agoTrump’s felony conviction has hurt him in the pollswww.vox.comexternal-linkmessage-square29fedilinkarrow-up1349arrow-down16
arrow-up1343arrow-down1external-linkTrump’s felony conviction has hurt him in the pollswww.vox.comjeffw@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 5 months agomessage-square29fedilink
minus-squareperson420@lemmynsfw.comlinkfedilinkarrow-up1·5 months agoThere’s two interesting things the article points out. These were recontact polls. So these were people who were already polled, presumably a small percentage changing their minds. These were multiple pills across different organizations running them. So while they can be within the margin of error, they all saw the same trend. Obviously you can’t go by polls, and there’s a ton of time between now and Nov, but it’s interesting nonetheless.
minus-squareeestileib@sh.itjust.workslinkfedilinkarrow-up1·5 months agoOnly one of them was a recontact poll, which they don’t even report a margin of error for. That one at least produced some interpretable anecdata, to wit: very few people changed their mind. It’ll take months of pounding away at it to reach most people, if it does at all.
There’s two interesting things the article points out.
Obviously you can’t go by polls, and there’s a ton of time between now and Nov, but it’s interesting nonetheless.
Only one of them was a recontact poll, which they don’t even report a margin of error for.
That one at least produced some interpretable anecdata, to wit: very few people changed their mind.
It’ll take months of pounding away at it to reach most people, if it does at all.