Trump is losing independent voters in FL by seven points in this poll. He lost independents by 11 points to Biden in FL in 2020, according to exit polls.
Registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats by 1 million in FL. That is keeping Trump in the lead but if Harris wins independents by 7 points nationwide, the EC won’t be close.
the fact that there are harris voters making noise in the villages, of all places, should be making trump re-shit his already shat pampers
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In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.
If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.
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I think there is fuckery with the numbers being reported. I don’t think you can trust the officials there not to be playing some game.
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In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You’ll know by that and the money they pour into those states
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North Carolina is a no brainer for a barn storm visit. Virgina, North Carolina, Georgia.
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Georgia and NC are utter disasters and the election isn’t even competitive.
Georgia and North Carolina are tied per the polls
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I think NC is definitely a prime target for better outreach because demographics are sorta kinda shifting in the right direction, but the number of Trump flotillas and skyscraper-sized MAGA flags I’ve seen over the past few years has kept me from getting my hopes up. I’d love to be convinced we could go blue, but I just don’t see any realistic chance of that happening any time soon.
It’s worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There’s very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL
I just hope the democrats don’t make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.
If Biden had a strong lead among independents in 2020 than harris does now and still lost there, doesn’t that suggest that Harris is currently less likely to take FL? Or is there something that’s changed between 2020 and 2024 that boosts Harris’ chances?
I think Death Sentence closed a ton of poling places and made it extremely difficult to vote.
Then get Mail in ballots, I got mine easily and voted in the primaries and got an email my votes have been received
What’s EC, exit count?
Electoral College
Thank you for clarifying
Fuck the polls, go vote.
Yo I’m.a Florida voter that is a solid Kamala vote…and D down the ticket, fuck the new Nazi party
And tell everyone you know to vote.
Offer carpools.
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