In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.
If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.
In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You’ll know by that and the money they pour into those states
I think NC is definitely a prime target for better outreach because demographics are sorta kinda shifting in the right direction, but the number of Trump flotillas and skyscraper-sized MAGA flags I’ve seen over the past few years has kept me from getting my hopes up. I’d love to be convinced we could go blue, but I just don’t see any realistic chance of that happening any time soon.
It’s worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There’s very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL
I just hope the democrats don’t make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.
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In 2020 Florida was only won by 3.5%. That isn’t large enough to be considered a safe state. Now you could argue that it has shifted a good deal one way, and that may be true. It’s also worth mentioning Florida has about 0% chance at being the tipping point state. If Florida is even close to turning blue Harris already won, and the closer sunbelt and southern states like NC and Georgia likely have already gone blue as well.
If anything boosting Democrat enthusiasm in the state means more to helping lower elections than it would have an affect on the top of the ticket.
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I think there is fuckery with the numbers being reported. I don’t think you can trust the officials there not to be playing some game.
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In a couple of weeks Harris-Wallz will isolate states that are close or have a good chance of turning. They do this with statistical analysts and on the ground reporting. They might even do it to promote the down ballot. Florida and Texas will both be looked at. You’ll know by that and the money they pour into those states
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North Carolina is a no brainer for a barn storm visit. Virgina, North Carolina, Georgia.
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Georgia and North Carolina are tied per the polls
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Virgina is where a lot of government employees live. They may not like the idea of Trump firing them. Currently, it’s Harris by 4.
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I think NC is definitely a prime target for better outreach because demographics are sorta kinda shifting in the right direction, but the number of Trump flotillas and skyscraper-sized MAGA flags I’ve seen over the past few years has kept me from getting my hopes up. I’d love to be convinced we could go blue, but I just don’t see any realistic chance of that happening any time soon.
It’s worth mentioning recreational pot and abortion are on the ballot this November as well. There’s very likely to be a larger progressive presence at the polls in FL
I just hope the democrats don’t make the same mistake they did in 2016, where their internal polling said they could get Texas, so they spent a ton of resources there instead of the swing states she actually needed. Biden ran his campaign in the right places, and Harris should do the same and not get distracted by a juicy red state.