AI Generated Summary (I’ve been expirimentign with it):
- Kamala Harris had a tough day in the forecast despite gains in national polls.
- She leads by 3.8 points nationally but has a 47.3% chance of winning the Electoral College.
- The model adjusts for convention bounce, assuming her polls are inflated.
- Harris’s numbers may improve if she maintains her current standing.
- A concern is the lack of polls showing her ahead in Pennsylvania, a key state.
- Recent polls show Pennsylvania as a tie or slightly favoring Trump.
- Harris has a 17% chance of winning the popular vote but losing the Electoral College.
- RFK’s dropout and endorsement of Trump may impact her in Rust Belt states.
- Tim Walz has had a strong rollout as Harris’s VP, but there’s speculation about Josh Shapiro.
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Poll showing Harris winning: c/politics needs this!
Pot showing Harris behind anywhere: get this fascist garbage out of c/politics!
What AI summarizer are you using?
I used M365’s’ Copilot. And I asked it to bullet point summarize the article’s text.
Current polling shows basically a tie.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/
Which is an improvement from Trump +4/+5 vs. Biden.
Undoubtedly Harris is an improvement compared to Biden.
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