• Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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    1 month ago

    I’m not arguing that she will or won’t… only that she can’t right now regardless of her actual stance.

    You’re not ‘arguing’ anything at all. You’re just declaring it to be the case with so much as a scrap of evidence offered.

    All the evidence provided indicates a sizeable demographic of ex-Democrat voters who would readily vote Democrat again if they changed policy on arms sales.

    No polling data from anywhere indicates that keeping arms sales is the key to the swing states.

    All polling data that’s been provided indicates that banning arms sales is the key to the swing states.

    So what is tying Harris’s hands exactly? Spell it out.

    • echo@lemmings.world
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      1 month ago

      Just because you’re not following the argument nor participating in the conversation doesn’t mean I’m not making one.

      • Trump will be far worse for Gaza than Harris by every possible measure
      • For this reason, anyone who cares about Gaza must vote for Harris, no matter how repulsive they might find that choice to be
      • Harris must beat Trump
      • To do this Harris needs to take away voters from Trump
      • Harris coming out against Israel will give voters to Trump, not take them away from Trump
      • Harris must not come out against Israel before elected or she won’t get elected

      Anyone who cares about Gaza and doesn’t vote for Harris doesn’t actually care about Gaza and are just attention seeking, trolling, and/or fucking stupid.

      • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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        1 month ago

        To do this Harris needs to take away voters from Trump

        You’ve provided no evidence at all for this, and all the available evidence demonstrates the contrary.

        Just declaring things to be the case isn’t an argument. You have to bring evidence to bear.

        Harris coming out against Israel will give voters to Trump, not take them away from Trump

        Again. No evidence, and all the available evidence is to the contrary.

        Harris must not come out against Israel before elected or she won’t get elected

        Again, all the evidence given shows the opposite.

        The vast majority of Democrat voters and a smaller group of Republican voters want to stop arms sale to Israel.

        A huge proportion of key voters in swing states want to stop arms sales to Israel.

        Voters angry at the Democrats for not stopping arms sales to Israel are actively saying they will abstain or vote Trump.

        No group, poll, or campaign has come out to claim they’ll vote Trump if the Democrats stop arms sales to Israel.

        All this evidence supports the view that stopping arms sales to Israel will gain Democrats a massive number of additional votes, some of which will be from otherwise Trump voters.

        You’ve provided no evidence to the contrary.

        • echo@lemmings.world
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          1 month ago

          To do this Harris needs to take away voters from Trump You’ve provided no evidence at all for this, and all the available evidence demonstrates the contrary.

          Perhaps you don’t understand how elections work? In this case, either Harris or Trump is going to win. That will be based on which one gets the most votes. Every vote cast that is not for Harris automatically helps Trump. There is really nothing to debate here.

          Voters angry at the Democrats for not stopping arms sales to Israel are actively saying they will abstain or vote Trump.

          And that makes them fucking stupid because they’d rather put in someone who will definitely destroy Gaza than someone who might not help Gaza as much as they’d like.

          No group, poll, or campaign has come out to claim they’ll vote Trump Because there doesn’t need to be a poll to say this. It’s blindingly obvious.

          Trump’s voters want Gaza gone. They would be perfectly fine with just dropping a nuke on them an calling it a day. For Harris to come out now to support Gaza over Israel would mean two things. Those who might have been leaning away from Trump for other reasons will have cause to go ahead and vote for him. Harris will lose votes from those who support Israel. Believe it or not, there are plenty of Democrats who also wouldn’t mind if Gaza would just go ahead and die, already. You will have religious zealots who might have otherwise voted for Harris instead vote for Trump.

          • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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            1 month ago

            So just doubling down on blind assertions? The lack of intellectual integrity is astounding.

            To win, Harris does not need to take votes from Trump. She can win by taking votes from Independents and currently non-voters.

            The evidence is that this group would vote for her if she changed policy on arms sales to Israel.

            There is no evidence of a similar sized group of currently committed Democrats who would not vote for her if she changed policy on arms sales to Israel.

            As such, there is no evidence for your claim that she needs to keep this policy to win and what evidence there is suggests the opposite.

            That’s how evidence works, your theory is supposed to respond to it.

            Trump’s voters want Gaza gone

            No they don’t. The polls suggest they are about 50/50 on the matter. Again, evidence helps us here rather than just spewing whatever we reckon.

            For Harris to come out now to support Gaza over Israel would mean two things. Those who might have been leaning away from Trump for other reasons will have cause to go ahead and vote for him.

            No. Again, there’s no evidence from polling of a significant group who would do this.

            Harris will lose votes from those who support Israel. Believe it or not, there are plenty of Democrats who also wouldn’t mind if Gaza would just go ahead and die, already

            No. Again the actual evidence shows over 60% of Democrats want arms sales to Israel banned, and only a tiny percentage actually want them maintained (the rest undecided). The figures are even higher in Michigan, as an example of a key swing state.

            • echo@lemmings.world
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              1 month ago

              The evidence is that this group would vote for her if she changed policy on arms sales to Israel.

              The evidence is that if they don’t vote for her then they’re going to get Trump who will absolutely destroy Gaza (and the U.S.) If they don’t vote for her or don’t vote at all then they are fucking morons. They will take their moral convictions to their graves.

              • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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                30 days ago

                The evidence is that if they don’t vote for her then they’re going to get Trump

                Yes. That’s right. And it’s entirely Harris’s fault. No one else’s. She could change policy and earn their vote. She doesn’t, and so hands the election to Trump.

                Yet you’re such a sycophant that instead of outrage at her, you’re outraged at the voters whom you think somehow owe her a vote. You’re outraged at the people practising democracy for not falling into line with the authoritarians trying to undermine it.

                Harris will win more votes than she will lose if she changes policy on arms sales to Israel. That is what the evidence shows - overwhelming support for such a policy among previously Democrat voters and abstainers in key states.

                Candidates changing policy to meet voter’s expectations is exactly how democracy functions, even flawed ones like the US normally vaguely track voter preferences.

                So if Harris changed policy she would not worsen her support, nor would she be doing anything other than her job.

                The fact that she isn’t will be the single fact responsible for a Trump win, if he wins. Nothing else. Every other person involved would have been acting accordingly, only the Harris team are out of line.

                They are acting undemocratically, and probably illegally, backing a genocide. And you’re defending them, and attacking the people supporting democracy and peace…

                • echo@lemmings.world
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                  29 days ago
                  The evidence is that if they don’t vote for her then they’re going to get Trump
                  

                  Yes. That’s right. And it’s entirely Harris’s fault. No one else’s. She could change policy and earn their vote. She doesn’t, and so hands the election to Trump.

                  Oh fuck off with that… They’d rather vote for the fascist who has outright said he’d destroy Hamas? That’s on them for being stupid fucking morons. Don’t blame Harris for their stupidity.

                  At the general election for POTUS is the wrong fucking time to plant your stake in the ground. Anyone who wants a different candidate in 2028 that supports their views needed to get really involved in 2020, at the latest. The next best time to do that is right now for 2028. I’m not defending Harris. I’m saying the people you’re talking about are fucking morons and need to suddenly get smart.

                  • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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                    29 days ago

                    Anyone who wants a different candidate in 2028 that supports their views needed to get really involved in 2020, at the latest.

                    They did.

                    Again, your blind faith that the system will work if only the people just tried harder is sycophantic at best, if not downright insulting.

                    And besides, you’re the one imploring them to just vote without any regard to policy, so what exactly is “getting involved”?

                    Why would the Democrats listen to anything anyone says if they’re guaranteed your vote come election day anyway?

                  • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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                    29 days ago

                    And let’s be clear here what you’re advocating.

                    In the case that the Republicans are worse than the Democrats, people should vote Democrat and no other party.

                    The Republicans will always be worse than the Democrats.

                    Therefore, people should always vote Democrat in all cases and no other party.

                    That’s exactly the Chinese totalitarian system. One party which you must vote for regardless of what you think of their policies.

    • GBU_28@lemm.ee
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      1 month ago

      Well a vice president can’t just change policy against the wishes of the president. Nor do they regularly deviate in public opinion. That’s not something that needs to be looked up.

      As to weather she would actually do that, well, only the future knows that.

      • Ephoron@lemmy.kde.social
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        1 month ago

        a vice president can’t just change policy against the wishes of the president. Nor do they regularly deviate in public opinion.

        Apologies for my lack of clarity. I was using ‘Harris’ as shorthand for ‘the Harris campaign’. I mean to ask why they wouldn’t change policy… The campaign team.