I don’t know a single person voting Nats but my gut feeling is they will get it. And likely not by a huge margin, meaning Nat-Act govt likely.
ITT no discussing why X should or shouldn’t be in, just your predictions.
Also, is it illegal to bet on elections?
Those odds aren’t really lining up with current polling which is putting NZFist and Act on or about the same number of seats, if not NZ1 above.
NZF often polls lower than its support on the day.