I think it’s wishful thinking or propaganda. Putin still has a lot of popular support. He’s in a more tenuous position than he’s ever been in his time in power, but he still seems to have firm grasp of the levers of power for now.
The number one requirement for a civil war would require either the military or the populace to rise up against the government. We sorta had the first thing happen and it definitely revealed some major cracks in the Russian dictatorship but the Russian people are still largely compliant. I’m not saying it’s completely far fetched, but “on the edge” really does seem a bit exaggerated. On the other hand, it’s definitely the closest it’s been since Putin came to power. Maybe it’s all relative.
That’s the thing. We have never had particularly good spy networks in Russia. During the cold war, it was nearly zero. It was easy for them to get an american to sell out for cash, and it was a lot harder to get a Russian to sell out since their families would be killed.
There’s a great book by Anne Jacobsen called The Pentagon’s Brain that discussed in depth the nonsense that we paid for as “studies” on the cold war and Vietnam. Basically, the generals would direct studies and funding to scientists who supported the arms race war narrative, with nearly no ability to get good information. So most of our “intelligence” was speculation. And turned out to be completely wrong once stuff was declassified.
I think it’s wishful thinking or propaganda. Putin still has a lot of popular support. He’s in a more tenuous position than he’s ever been in his time in power, but he still seems to have firm grasp of the levers of power for now.
The number one requirement for a civil war would require either the military or the populace to rise up against the government. We sorta had the first thing happen and it definitely revealed some major cracks in the Russian dictatorship but the Russian people are still largely compliant. I’m not saying it’s completely far fetched, but “on the edge” really does seem a bit exaggerated. On the other hand, it’s definitely the closest it’s been since Putin came to power. Maybe it’s all relative.
Yeah, I would not get my hopes up. This dude is prolly just trolling.
That being said, Russia has been know to collapse overnight lol
That’s the thing. We have never had particularly good spy networks in Russia. During the cold war, it was nearly zero. It was easy for them to get an american to sell out for cash, and it was a lot harder to get a Russian to sell out since their families would be killed.
There’s a great book by Anne Jacobsen called The Pentagon’s Brain that discussed in depth the nonsense that we paid for as “studies” on the cold war and Vietnam. Basically, the generals would direct studies and funding to scientists who supported the arms race war narrative, with nearly no ability to get good information. So most of our “intelligence” was speculation. And turned out to be completely wrong once stuff was declassified.