• Ð Greıt Þu̇mpkin@lemm.ee
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    9
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    10 months ago

    I mean the reason they’re so certain Biden is their best bet is the incumbent effect, which is REALLY HARD to beat. I think AOC is like the main example of someone being able to beat a big wig incumbent and she had some pretty extraordinary circumstances and personal talent to make that happen.

    I’m just crossing my fingers that Whitmer goes for it next time because she seems like she’s got a lot of credential to her portfolio already.

    • TheKingBee@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      5
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      10 months ago

      I get the incumbent effect, but it only goes so far… Much like the “well for all his faults, to any sane person he’s clearly better than his opponent” effect.

      I hope the democrats get their shit figured out and have someone they can push, but history shows they are bunglers…